Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN
International	DAZN National League


	Gateshead		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	4.20	4.00	1.62
	4.20	3.80	1.61
	4.00	4.10	1.67
	4.55	4.57	1.66
	4.42	4.22	1.64	Watch
	4.20	4.45	1.62
	4.23	4.10	1.60
	4.20	3.95	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.59)	4.15 ↑ (3.89)	1.63 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
21.6%

Draw
22.1%

Tamworth
56.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

23.6%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

22.8%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamworth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Gateshead - Tamworth Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Tamworth (1.67) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 24th in the Relegation and 18th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 2.

Gateshead has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Tamworth have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Tamworth could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Tamworth for this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Gateshead has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:12 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gateshead against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8:31	-23	4

Outrights of English National League for now

Tamworth: 0.34% Gateshead: 0.13%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English FA Cup
20.10.26	Stafford Rangers - Gateshead	5:0 ✺
17.10.26	Gateshead - Stafford Rangers	1:1 ✺
English National League Cup
13.10.26	Gateshead - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	0:1 penalties ✺
English National League
10.10.26	Halifax Town - Gateshead	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Gateshead - Worthing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Tamworth
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Carlisle United - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
English National League
10.10.26	Tamworth - Barrow	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
06.10.26	Tamworth - Leeds United U21	1:0 ✺
English National League
03.10.26	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
30.09.26	Tamworth - Sutton United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.01.26	Tamworth - Gateshead	3:1
23.08.25	Gateshead - Tamworth	2:1
22.03.25	Gateshead - Tamworth	0:2
08.10.24	Tamworth - Gateshead	2:1
05.04.14	Gateshead - Tamworth	5:0
21.09.13	Tamworth - Gateshead	0:1
02.02.13	Tamworth - Gateshead	2:0

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