Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Gateshead		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	5
	1.52	4.5	5
	1.51	4.59	4.98
	1.52	4.59	4.98
	1.44	4.33	5
	1.5	4.5	5.35
	1.51	4.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	4.43 ↑ (4.28)	5.03 ↓ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
61.2%

Draw
20.7%

Weston-super-Mare
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.3%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

20.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Gateshead - Weston super Mare Predictions

Users Predictions: Gateshead will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Gateshead is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weston-super-Mare is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Weston-super-Mare could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gateshead is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
10.01.24	Chesterfield - Gateshead	5:0 ✺
01.01.24	York City - Gateshead	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Gateshead - York City	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Oldham Athletic - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Gateshead - Halifax Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTWL
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
06.01.24	Weston-super-Mare - Dartford	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Weymouth - Weston-super-Mare	3:3 ✺
26.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	2:3 ✺
23.12.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Weston-super-Mare	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL

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