Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 35

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Genk		Standard Liège

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.9	5
	1.55	4.1	5.8
	1.63	4.21	5.45
	1.58	4.26	5.46
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.66	4.07	5.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	4.03 ↓ (4.08)	5.38 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
59%

Draw
23.4%

Standard Liège
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

23.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Genk - Standard Liège Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Standard will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Brughmans L. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 19. Medina Y. 21. Bangoura I. 8. Heynen B. (C) 38. Heymans D. 10. Ito J. 32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 23. Bibout A.	1. Epolo M. (G) 25. Hautekiet I. 4. Bates D. 18. Lawrence H. 13. Fossey M. (C) 94. Nielsen C. 20. Karamoko I. 3. Mortensen G. 11. Abid A. 7. Mohr T. 17. Said R.
Substitutes
56. De Wannemacker A. 20. Karetsas K. 18. Kayembe J. 44. Kongolo J. 29. Mirisola R. 24. Sattlberger N. 14. Sor Y. 7. Steuckers J. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 30. Yokoyama A.	53. Assengue S. 29. Dierckx D. 46. Durka Q. (G) 24. Homawoo J. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 26. Nguene B. 59. Nkada T. 21. Pirard L. (G) 33. Spoden C.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Euvrard V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Mohr T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Fossey M. ↓, Assengue S. ↑,
64', Medina Y. 🟨,
67', Smets M. 🟨,
70', Medina Y. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,
70', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Bibout A. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
76', Mohr T. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
77', Abid A. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
83', Assengue S. ↓, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↑,
83', Bates D. ↓, Homawoo J. ↑,
84', Karetsas K. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
90', Sadick M. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Nielsen C. ⚽,
90', Said R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 2.

Genk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Standard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Genk is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Genk: Lawal T. (Injury)

There will not play in Standard: Fossey M. (Hamstring Injury) Ilaimaharitra M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Standard: Eckert Ayensa D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Genk: 4.82% St. Liege: 2.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	St. Liege	7	3	2	2	13:12	1	11
11	Genk	7	2	3	2	13:12	1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Genk - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 58.15%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.04.26	Genk - Charleroi	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Westerlo - Genk	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Royal Antwerp - Genk	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	RAAL La Louvière - Genk	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTWT
- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.04.26	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Charleroi - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Standard Liège - Westerlo	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Standard Liège - Westerlo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.02.26	Genk - Standard Liège	0:3
10.08.25	Standard Liège - Genk	2:1
14.02.25	Standard Liège - Genk	1:2
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Genk - Standard Liège	2:1 ET
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.07.24	Genk - Standard Liège	0:0
10.03.24	Genk - Standard Liège	1:0
25.11.23	Standard Liège - Genk	1:0

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