Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	09:30	DAZN
Austria	13:30	DAZN
Belgium	13:30	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	08:30	DAZN
Brazil	09:30	DAZN Brasil
Canada	08:30	DAZN Canada
Denmark	13:30	DAZN
Ecuador	07:30	DAZN
Finland	14:30	DAZN
France	13:30	DAZN France
Germany	13:30	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	21:30	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	01:30	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	09:30	DAZN
Portugal	12:30	DAZN / App
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	DAZN
Switzerland	13:30	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	20:30	DAZN
United Kingdom	12:30	DAZN
Uruguay	09:30	DAZN
Usa	08:30	DAZN USA
Venezuela	08:30	DAZN


	Genk		Standard Liège

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.80	4.40
	1.68	3.8	4.85
	1.71	3.96	5.24
	1.68	3.9	4.95
	1.68	3.8	5.15
	1.7	3.98	4.96	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	4.83 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
56%

Draw
24.5%

Standard Liège
19.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Genk - Standard Liège Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Genk will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Brughmans L. (G) 20. Amaro K. 6. Smets M. 44. Kongolo J. 18. Kayembe J. 4. Tahirovic B. 8. Heynen B. (C) 10. Ito J. 38. Heymans D. 32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 17. Durosinmi R.	1. Epolo M. (G) 20. Karamoko I. 25. Hautekiet I. 4. Lavalee D. 13. Fossey M. (C) 80. Fosso R. 22. Trouillet A. 7. Mohr T. 15. Drammeh S. 10. Eckert D. 11. Abid A.
Substitutes
21. Bangoura I. 23. Bibout A. 56. De Wannemacker A. 11. Erenbjerg J. 1. Leysen T. (G) 19. Medina Y. 5. Ravych C. 25. Roganovic M. 30. Yokoyama A.	29. Dierckx D. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 19. Jasper S. 18. Lawrence H. 3. Mortensen G. 77. Nsimba B. 21. Pirard L. (G) 84. Touzghar R. 9. Zeqiri A.
Coaches
Thorup J.	Euvrard V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Karamoko I. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Ito J. ⚽,
33', Epolo M. 🟥,
36', Drammeh S. ↓, Pirard L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mohr T. ↓, Mortensen G. ↑,
46', Fosso R. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
46', Karamoko I. ↓, Touzghar R. ↑,
58', Heynen B. 🟨,
62', Trouillet A. 🟨,
64', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Zeqiri A. ⚽, Hautekiet I. (A),
70', Tahirovic B. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Bibout A. ⚽,
82', Eckert D. ↓, Nsimba B. ↑,
86', Durosinmi R. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
86', Ito J. ↓, Erenbjerg J. ↑,
90+5', Heymans D. 🟥,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Standard may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Genk carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Genk has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:21 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Genk against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:11 goals (averaging 1.2:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Genk	9	4	3	2	18:13	5	15
9	St. Liege	9	3	2	4	14:15	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Genk - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.07%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Cup
17.10.26	Excelsior Virton - Genk	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.10.26	Genk - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Genk - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.09.26	Club Brugge - Genk	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Genk - Gent	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWLLT
- Standard Liège
Belgian Cup
16.10.26	Standard Liège - Dender EH	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.10.26	Standard Liège - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Gent - Standard Liège	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Westerlo - Standard Liège	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.05.26	Standard Liège - Genk	0:0
25.04.26	Genk - Standard Liège	1:1
22.02.26	Genk - Standard Liège	0:3
10.08.25	Standard Liège - Genk	2:1
14.02.25	Standard Liège - Genk	1:2
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Genk - Standard Liège	2:1 ET
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.07.24	Genk - Standard Liège	0:0

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