Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 28

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Giua A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Genoa		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	10	Watch
	1.4	4.2	8.5
	1.4	4.3	8
	1.4	4.1	8.4
	1.4	4.47	9.7
	1.42	4	9
	1.41	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.4	4.3	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	4.25 ↓ (4.44)	8.81 ↑ (8.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
67.2%

Draw
22.1%

Nuova Cosenza
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

21.1%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

20.1%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Nuova Cosenza aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.3%	15.8%	7.9%

Genoa - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Cosenza will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 62.8% – 89.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (53.07%), has project points - 66, has currently - 48, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a good chance of promoted (70%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Cosenza has the most likely position - 20 (51.29%), has project points - 35, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 26, importance 60, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Genoa is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Genoa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie B
01.03.23	Cagliari - Genoa	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Genoa - SPAL	3:0 ✺
19.02.23	Modena - Genoa	2:2 ✺
10.02.23	Genoa - Palermo	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Parma - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTWL
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
28.02.23	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Como - Nuova Cosenza	5:1 ✺
18.02.23	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Nuova Cosenza - Ternana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.10.22	Nuova Cosenza - Genoa	1:2

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