Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 24

Date: 10 February 2023, Friday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Genoa		Palermo

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.5	5
	1.7	3.45	5.25
	1.72	3.56	5.94
	1.67	3.4	5.8
	1.7	3.64	5.15	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	5.37 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
55.6%

Draw
26.8%

Palermo
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

32.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Palermo aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.4%	15.4%	19.2%

Genoa - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Palermo will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (38.07%), has project points - 64, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), has a good chance of promoted (57%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Palermo has the most likely position - 9 (9.39%), has project points - 52, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (42%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 53, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Genoa won 1.

Recent matches Genoa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palermo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Genoa is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Genoa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Genoa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie B
05.02.23	Parma - Genoa	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Genoa - Pisa	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Benevento - Genoa	1:2 ✺
16.01.23	Genoa - Venezia	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.01.23	Roma - Genoa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWWL
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
05.02.23	Palermo - Reggina	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Ascoli - Palermo	1:2 ✺
20.01.23	Palermo - Bari	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Perugia - Palermo	3:3 ✺
26.12.22	Brescia - Palermo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.09.22	Palermo - Genoa	1:0
Italian Serie A
14.05.17	Palermo - Genoa	1:0
18.12.16	Genoa - Palermo	3:4
17.01.16	Genoa - Palermo	4:0
23.08.15	Palermo - Genoa	1:0
19.04.15	Palermo - Genoa	2:1
24.11.14	Genoa - Palermo	1:1

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