Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 25

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Modena		Genoa

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.45	Watch
	3	3.1	2.37
	3.15	3.1	2.3
	3.15	3.1	2.58
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	3.05	3.22	2.39	Watch
	3	3.1	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (3.03)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)	2.4 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
30.6%

Draw
30.2%

Genoa
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.9%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Genoa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Genoa aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Modena - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Genoa will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Modena has the most likely position - 8 (8.94%), has project points - 53, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (56.29%), has project points - 66, has currently - 43, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a good chance of promoted (72%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

This event has quality 37, importance 51, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Modena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Genoa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Genoa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Genoa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Modena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
11.02.23	Brescia - Modena	0:1 ✺
03.02.23	Modena - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Ternana - Modena	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Modena - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Frosinone - Modena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie B
10.02.23	Genoa - Palermo	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Parma - Genoa	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Genoa - Pisa	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Benevento - Genoa	1:2 ✺
16.01.23	Genoa - Venezia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.09.22	Genoa - Modena	1:0

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