Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Glova F. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 2
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Gent		Partizan

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5	Watch
	1.49	4.33	5.5
	1.52	4.3	5.5
	1.54	4.37	5.62
	1.52	4.4	5.55	Watch
	1.55	4.47	5.98
	1.52	4.3	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)	4.36 ↑ (4.3)	5.52 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
61.6%

Draw
21.5%

Partizan
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.4%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

20.4%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Partizan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	6.9%	3.4%

Gent - Partizan Predictions

Users Predictions: Gent will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (G) 22. Fadiga N. 12. Gambor H. 4. Watanabe T. 23. Torunarigha J. 3. Brown A. 24. Kums S. (C) 16. Delorge-Knieper M. 6. Gandelman O. 9. Gudjohnsen A. 19. Surdez F.	1. Jovanovic A. (G) 25. De Medina N. 18. Mujakic N. 6. Markovic S. (C) 4. Jurcevic M. 33. Arriaga K. 14. Kovac S. 29. Zahid G. 7. Severina X. 15. Kalulu A. 39. Ibrahim Z.
Substitutes
21. Dean M. 27. De Vlieger T. 28. Fernandez-Pardo M. 25. Fortuna N. 8. Gerkens P. 15. Ito A. 13. Mitrovic S. 18. Samoise M. 1. Schmidt D. (G) 11. Sonko M. L. 29. Varela H. 14. Yokota D.	5. Antic N. 26. Filipovic A. 20. Grimaldo J. 9. Jovanovic D. 31. Krunic M. (G) 50. Lazarevic M. 10. Natcho B. 23. Nikolic N. 19. Scekic A. 85. Stevanovic N. (G) 45. Stjepanovic M.
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Stanojevic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Gambor H. 🟨,
21', Arriaga K. 🟨,
28', De Medina N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Arriaga K. ↓, Jovanovic D. ↑,
56', Severina X. ↓, Grimaldo J. ↑,
57', De Medina N. ↓, Filipovic A. ↑,
65', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
65', Ibrahim Z. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
75', Zahid G. ↓, Nikolic N. ↑,
79', Kums S. ↓, Ito A. ↑,
84', Fadiga N. ↓, Samoise M. ↑,
84', Surdez F. ↓, Varela H. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Delorge-Knieper M. ⚽, Samoise M. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Gent is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Partizan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Partizan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gent is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gent won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Gent won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Partizan - Gent	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.08.24	Gent - Westerlo	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Gent - Silkeborg IF	3:2 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.08.24	Charleroi - Gent	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Silkeborg IF - Gent	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLT
- FK Partizan
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Partizan - Gent	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Lugano - Partizan	2:2 ET ✺
Serbian Superliga
11.08.24	IMT Novi Beograd - Partizan	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Partizan - Lugano	0:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
04.08.24	Partizan - Železničar Pančevo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Partizan - Gent	0:1
04.11.21	Gent - Partizan	1:1
21.10.21	Partizan - Gent	0:1

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