Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Partizana (Belgrade)

Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go


	Partizan		Gent

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.98
	3.4	3.6	2
	3.49	3.61	2.04
	3.42	3.74	1.98	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2
	3.39	3.76	2.11
	3.4	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.85)	3.63 ↑ (3.61)	2.01 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partizan
27.9%

Draw
25.7%

Gent
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

25.6%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

24.9%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Partizan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	9.4%	81.2%

Partizan - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Partizan will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Gent will win (votes: 25 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 70% – 96.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovanovic A. (G) 25. De Medina N. 6. Markovic S. (C) 18. Mujakic N. 4. Jurcevic M. 33. Arriaga K. 29. Zahid G. 7. Severina X. 39. Ibrahim Z. 77. Goh Young-Jun 11. Saldanha	33. Roef D. (G) 12. Gambor H. 13. Mitrovic S. 23. Torunarigha J. 3. Brown A. 24. Kums S. (C) 16. Delorge-Knieper M. 6. Gandelman O. 22. Fadiga N. 9. Gudjohnsen A. 19. Surdez F.
Substitutes
5. Antic N. 26. Filipovic A. 20. Grimaldo J. 9. Jovanovic D. 14. Kovac S. 31. Krunic M. (G) 50. Lazarevic M. 10. Natcho B. 23. Nikolic N. 19. Scekic A. 40. Simic N. 45. Stjepanovic M.	21. Dean M. 30. De Schrevel C. (G) 27. De Vlieger T. 28. Fernandez-Pardo M. 25. Fortuna N. 8. Gerkens P. 15. Ito A. 18. Samoise M. 1. Schmidt D. (G) 11. Sonko M. L. 29. Varela H. 14. Yokota D.
Coaches
Stanojevic A.	Vrancken W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Gandelman O. ⚽, Kums S. (A),
18', Brown A. 🟨,
22', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Kovac S. ↑,
36', Jurcevic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brown A. ↓, Fortuna N. ↑,
46', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
64', Saldanha ↓, Jovanovic D. ↑,
64', Ibrahim Z. ↓, Grimaldo J. ↑,
67', Fadiga N. ↓, Samoise M. ↑,
67', Surdez F. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
74', Markovic S. 🟨,
75', Zahid G. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
75', Severina X. ↓, Lazarevic M. ↑,
82', Fernandez-Pardo M. 🟨,
83', Dean M. 🟨,
84', Lazarevic M. 🟨,
86', Torunarigha J. 🟨,
90+3', Kums S. ↓, Gerkens P. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Partizan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gent will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Partizan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Partizan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Partizan
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Lugano - Partizan	2:2 ET ✺
Serbian Superliga
11.08.24	IMT Novi Beograd - Partizan	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Partizan - Lugano	0:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
04.08.24	Partizan - Železničar Pančevo	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	Partizan - Dynamo Kyiv	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLWL
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.08.24	Gent - Westerlo	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Gent - Silkeborg IF	3:2 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.08.24	Charleroi - Gent	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Silkeborg IF - Gent	2:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.08.24	Gent - Dender EH	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
04.11.21	Gent - Partizan	1:1
21.10.21	Partizan - Gent	0:1

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