Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Gernika		Leganés

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.55	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.51
	5.4	4.3	1.47
	5.6	3.95	1.54
	5.13	4.19	1.53
	6.5	3.9	1.53	Watch
	6.05	3.96	1.53	Watch
	5.6	3.95	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.72 ↓ (6.43)	4.02 ↑ (3.95)	1.53 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
16.2%

Draw
23.1%

Leganés
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

23.4%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

23%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	8.3%	50%

Gernika - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gernika will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Leganés will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Gernika is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leganés is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gernika could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leganés is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.11.22	Gernika - Utebo	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Tarazona - Gernika	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Gernika - Izarra	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Tudelano - Gernika	3:2 ✺
09.10.22	Gernika - Sestao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWLL
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
05.11.22	Leganés - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
01.11.22	Ibiza - Leganés	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Leganés - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Leganés - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Levante - Leganés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWL

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