Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Gillingham		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.83
	4.1	3.6	1.82
	3.95	3.7	1.9
	3.95	3.55	1.84
	4.18	3.71	1.9
	4	3.6	1.83
	4.25	3.88	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.78)	3.69 ↑ (3.5)	1.86 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
23.3%

Draw
25.7%

Oxford United
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

26.7%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

21.5%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gillingham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oxford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gillingham - Oxford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Gillingham has the most likely position - 23 (27.23%), has project points - 38, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (85%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Oxford has the most likely position - 5 (14.07%), has project points - 77, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (49%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Gillingham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Oxford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oxford is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League One
25.01.22	Gillingham - Shrewsbury Town	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Wigan Athletic - Gillingham	3:2 ✺
15.01.22	Gillingham - Burton Albion	1:3 ✺
08.01.22	Gillingham - Ipswich Town	0:4 ✺
01.01.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLLT
- Oxford United
English League One
22.01.22	Oxford United - Sheffield Wednesday	3:2 ✺
15.01.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
08.01.22	Lincoln City - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
01.01.22	Oxford United - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
29.12.21	Oxford United - AFC Wimbledon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.09.21	Oxford United - Gillingham	1:1
17.04.21	Oxford United - Gillingham	3:2
10.10.20	Gillingham - Oxford United	3:1
18.01.20	Gillingham - Oxford United	1:1
28.09.19	Oxford United - Gillingham	3:0
09.03.19	Gillingham - Oxford United	1:0
17.11.18	Oxford United - Gillingham	1:0

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