The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 27.9%
Draw 27.7%
Plymouth Argyle 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.3%
27.2%
45.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
18.2%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-14%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gillingham - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Gillingham has the most likely position - 22 (29.49%), has project points - 39, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Plymouth has the most likely position - 6 (12.07%), has project points - 76, has currently - 53, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality14, small importance28, small match rating21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 0.
Recent matches Gillingham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Plymouth is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Plymouth have a series of guest games.
Plymouth will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.