Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3, FEF TV


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.88	3.4
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	2.09	3.2	3.5
	2	3.3	3.78
	2.07	3.03	3.63	Watch
	2.23	2.98	3.52
	2.09	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.13)	3.1 ↓ (3.12)	3.56 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
44.4%

Draw
29.7%

Barakaldo
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rebollo D. (G) 20. Miguel 15. Leal A. 3. Perez G. 7. Junca D. 8. Montalvo M. 14. Sanz O. 17. Fernandez P. (C) 19. Torres R. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin	13. Perez U. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 12. Artetxe M. 3. Garcia B. 4. Jelbat A. 5. Molina E. 20. Martinez J. 23. Bilbao L. 19. Isuskiza V. 18. Santiago P. 9. Valino A.
Substitutes
23. Concha D. 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 6. Gorostidi A. 10. Jardi J. 18. Jimenez A. 21. Oriol J. 26. Salva J. (G) 1. Varo A. (G)	22. Bujan U. 8. Huidobro J. 16. Lopez O. 15. Muguruza A. 7. Pedernales I. 1. Tena J. (G) 10. Torre I. 14. Txoperena U. 21. Uriarte K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', de Jesus B. 🟨,
20', Narro V. 🟨,
29', Molina E. 🟨,
37', Fernandez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Junca D. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
59', Torres R. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
59', Narro V. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
61', Domingo Ciuraneta P. 🟨,
68', de Jesus B. ↓, Pedernales I. ↑,
68', Jelbat A. ↓, Lopez O. ↑,
68', Martinez J. ↓, Huidobro J. ↑,
70', Miguel ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
84', Sanz O. ↓, Dufur U. ↑,
86', Lopez O. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Montalvo M. ⚽,
90+1', de Jesus B. ↓, Bujan U. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gimnàstic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.25	Tarazona - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barcelona B	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ourense CF - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLT
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.25	Barakaldo - Lugo	3:2 ✺
02.03.25	Zamora - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Barakaldo - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:1 ✺
19.02.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Barakaldo - FC Andorra	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.09.24	Barakaldo - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1

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