Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 22

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.85	4.50	Watch
	1.95	3.00	4.00
	2.04	3.00	3.85	Watch
	2.00	3.10	4.58
	1.97	3.05	4.39	Watch
	1.96	3.05	4.40
	1.91	2.94	4.25	Watch
	1.95	2.90	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.94)	2.99 ↓ (3.17)	4.26 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
47.2%

Draw
31.1%

Deportivo Maipú
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

29.5%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cosentino F. (G) 4. Galetto J. 6. Diaz G. 2. Guanini M. 3. Montoya L. 5. Sivetti F. 8. Banega T. 10. Montoya W. 7. Aguirre J. 11. Rojas F. 9. Contin N.	1. Galardi N. (G) 4. Faggioli L. 2. Paulini S. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. de la Reta J. 5. Mansilla G. 7. Saccone F. 8. Perez E. 10. Silva T. 11. Gobetto J. 9. Giacone J.
Substitutes
18. Birge M. 17. Capano J. 20. Gordillo L. 14. Oviedo J. C. 12. Papaleo J. (G) 19. Rinaldi N. 15. Rocca J. 13. Soto G. 16. Villarreal R.	20. Barrera V. 17. Bonfigli M. 19. Cabrera L. 15. Fernandez N. 13. Ferreyra T. 14. Ortale M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 16. Vera J. 18. Viguet M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Banega T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Giacone J. ↓, Viguet M. ↑,
58', de la Reta J. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
62', Banega T. ↓, Birge M. ↑,
62', Contin N. ↓, Gordillo L. ↑,
65', Silva T. ↓, Bonfigli M. ↑,
68', Montoya W. ↓, Rinaldi N. ↑,
72', Perez E. 🟨,
72', Viguet M. 🟨,
73', Viguet M. 🟥,
76', Perez E. 🟥,
79', 1 - 0, Gordillo L. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Aguirre J. ↓, Villarreal R. ↑,
90+1', Rojas F. ↓, Capano J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Deportivo Maipú has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gimnasia y Tiro is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Tiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia y Tiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.07.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Colegiales - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
13.06.26	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
05.06.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWTLW
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.07.26	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Maipú	1:3 ✺
05.07.26	Deportivo Maipú - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.06.26	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0
15.08.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Maipú	1:0
13.04.25	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0

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