Match Info

Date: 5 February 2022, Saturday


	Girona		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.8
	1.9	3.25	4.4	Watch
	1.86	3.25	4.3
	1.92	3.37	4.71
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.96)	3.3 ↑ (3.19)	4.3 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
49.6%

Draw
28.5%

Ponferradina
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.4%	15.9%	22.7%

Girona - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 27 - 61.4%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 10 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 47% – 75.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Girona has the most likely position - 5 (13.37%), has project points - 65, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 6 (13.14%), has project points - 64, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Recent matches Girona is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponferradina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Girona have a series of home games.

In this match Girona is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Girona won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
29.01.22	Amorebieta - Girona	1:0 ✺
23.01.22	Girona - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.22	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
09.01.22	Girona - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.22	Girona - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLWW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
30.01.22	Ponferradina - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
23.01.22	Huesca - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
09.01.22	Ponferradina - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.22	Ponferradina - Espanyol	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
31.12.21	Real Oviedo - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
28.08.21	Ponferradina - Girona	2:1
03.04.21	Girona - Ponferradina	3:1
11.01.21	Ponferradina - Girona	1:1
22.02.20	Girona - Ponferradina	2:0
17.11.19	Ponferradina - Girona	1:1
04.06.16	Ponferradina - Girona	0:1
17.01.16	Girona - Ponferradina	4:0

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