Match Info

Date: 19 October 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Adelaarshorst (Deventer) 🌤️ ...


	Go Ahead Eagles		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.47	4.1	5.5
	1.48	4.25	7
	1.47	4.2	5.6
	1.53	4.31	5.83
	1.47	3.9	6
	1.48	4.4	6
	1.49	4.3	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.38)	4.21 ↓ (4.35)	5.97 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
62.3%

Draw
22.1%

Helmond Sport
15.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.5%

21.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.8%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Go Ahead Eagles - Helmond Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Go Ahead won 3.

Go Ahead is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Helmond Sport is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Go Ahead is certain favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Go Ahead won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Go Ahead won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
15.10.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Cambuur	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.09.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Go Ahead Eagles	2:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.09.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Emmen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 TTTWW
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.10.22	Helmond Sport - Willem II	1:3 ✺
07.10.22	Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport	0:1 ✺
30.09.22	Helmond Sport - FC Oss	1:2 ✺
23.09.22	Heracles Almelo - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
16.09.22	Helmond Sport - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.07.22	Helmond Sport - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.05.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Helmond Sport	5:1
04.12.20	Helmond Sport - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2
13.12.19	Helmond Sport - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2
15.03.19	Helmond Sport - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
07.12.18	Go Ahead Eagles - Helmond Sport	1:0
30.03.18	Go Ahead Eagles - Helmond Sport	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.26	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	✺
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.10.26	Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven	✺

Go Ahead Eagles - Helmond Sport