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Current Win Probability
Go Ahead Eagles 50.6%
Draw 25.2%
Heracles Almelo 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
24%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
21.8%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
20%
5%
Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Heracles will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 56% – 94%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Go Ahead Eagles will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Sampsted A. 26. Dirksen J. 4. Kramer J. (C) 29. Adelgaard A. 7. Breum J. 21. Meulensteen M. 10. Tengstedt S. 18. Margaret R. 16. Edvardsen V. 17. Suray M.
22. Pasveer R. (G) 23. te Wierik M. 4. Mirani D. (C) 24. Mesik I. 2. Benita M. 70. Hrustic A. 20. Bozinovski R. 5. van der Kust D. 9. Unuvar N. 25. Zeefuik L. 19. Kulenovic L.
Substitutes
24. Goudmijn K. 5. James D. 8. Linthorst E. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 9. Sigurdarson S. I. 11. Sivertsen O. 27. Stokkers F. 25. van Zwam G. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 20. Waayers E.
14. Ahlstrand E. 39. Blokhuis S. 10. Bruns T. 16. Jansink T. (G) 7. Limbombe B. 30. Mantel R. (G) 73. Ould Chikh W. 27. Tijink J. 17. van Gilst T. 3. Wieckhoff J. 13. Zamburek J.
Coaches
Boel M.
Faber E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Tengstedt S. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Tengstedt S. ⚽, Margaret R. (A),
41', Bozinovski R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bozinovski R. ↓, Ould Chikh W. ↑,
49', Mirani D. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Meulensteen M. ⚽,
53', Bruns T. 🟨,
58', Dirksen J. ↓, van Zwam G. ↑,
59', Tengstedt S. ↓, Sigurdarson S. I. ↑,
60', Benita M. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
60', van der Kust D. ↓, Ahlstrand E. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Suray M. ⚽, Meulensteen M. (A),
67', Margaret R. ↓, Sivertsen O. ↑,
67', 4 - 0, Breum J. ⚽, Sivertsen O. (A),
75', Breum J. ↓, Linthorst E. ↑,
75', Suray M. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Go Ahead is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Go Ahead: Baeten T.
(Red Card)
Nauber G.
(Broken Leg)
Saathof P.
(Knee Injury)
Weijenberg R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Heracles: Engels M.
(Inactive)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
de Keijzer F.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Go Ahead: James D.
(Inactive)
Suray M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Heracles: Borges Sanches Y.
(Illness)
Limbombe B.
(Illness)
Van Hoorenbeeck A.
(Illness)
Wieckhoff J.
(Illness)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2.6:1.9).
Netherlands
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De Busser J. (G) 
Sampsted A. 
Dirksen J. 
Adelgaard A. 
Margaret R. 
Edvardsen V. 
Mesik I. 
Hrustic A. 
Unuvar N. 
Kulenovic L. 
James D. 
Plogmann L. (G) 
Sivertsen O. 
Zamburek J. 
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