Match Info

Date: 8 July 2022, Friday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: da Silva Machado B. (Bra)


	Grêmio		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	4.75	10
	1.29	4.35	10.5
	1.3	4.5	10
	1.33	5.16	10.84
	1.3	4.75	8.5
	1.32	4.8	10.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.42)	4.72 ↑ (4.48)	10.1 ↑ (7.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
71.1%

Draw
19.7%

Náutico Capibaribe
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

21%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

20.5%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.7%	30%	13.3%

Grêmio - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). Náutico will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 39% – 74.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 16).

Grêmio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Náutico is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grêmio is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Grêmio: Benitez M. (Injury) Edilson (Injury) Elkeson C. (Injury) Kannemann W. (Injury) Phelipe (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Náutico: Bruno (Injury) Bryan (Injury) Djavan (Injury) Hereda D. (Injury) Kieza (Injury) Leo Passos (Injury) Wellington (Injury)

There are questionable in Náutico: Ailton (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
03.07.22	Bahia - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
28.06.22	Grêmio - Londrina	1:0 ✺
23.06.22	CS Alagoano - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
18.06.22	Grêmio - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
13.06.22	Sport Recife - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTWT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
02.07.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:1 ✺
29.06.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
26.06.22	Tombense - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
18.06.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
10.06.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
11.09.13	Náutico Capibaribe - Grêmio	0:2
26.05.13	Grêmio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
13.09.12	Grêmio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
17.06.12	Náutico Capibaribe - Grêmio	0:0

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