Match Info

Date: 22 January 2022, Saturday


	Greuther Fürth		Mainz

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.73	Watch
	5	3.6	1.74
	4.5	3.6	1.79
	4.93	3.67	1.82
	4.8	3.5	1.78
	5	3.68	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.49)	3.61 ↑ (3.58)	1.78 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
19.8%

Draw
26.5%

Mainz
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

26.6%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

21.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mainz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Greuther Fürth - Mainz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Fürth has the most likely position - 18 (95.23%), has project points - 19, has currently - 7, has a very good chance of relegated (99%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mainz has the most likely position - 7 (12.02%), has project points - 48, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mainz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mainz is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fürth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German Bundesliga
16.01.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
08.01.22	Greuther Fürth - Stuttgart	0:0 ✺
18.12.21	Greuther Fürth - Augsburg	0:0 ✺
15.12.21	Borussia Dortmund - Greuther Fürth	3:0 ✺
12.12.21	Greuther Fürth - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TTTLW
- Mainz 05
German DFB Pokal
18.01.22	Bochum - Mainz	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
15.01.22	Mainz - Bochum	1:0 ✺
08.01.22	RB Leipzig - Mainz	4:1 ✺
18.12.21	Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz	1:0 ✺
14.12.21	Mainz - Hertha Berlin	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
28.08.21	Mainz - Greuther Fürth	3:0
Club Friendly
20.07.17	Mainz - Greuther Fürth	0:0
German DFB Pokal
26.10.16	Greuther Fürth - Mainz	2:1
Club Friendly
15.11.13	Greuther Fürth - Mainz	0:3
German Bundesliga
26.01.13	Greuther Fürth - Mainz	0:3
31.08.12	Mainz - Greuther Fürth	0:1

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