Match Info

Date: 8 January 2022, Saturday


	Greuther Fürth		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.18
	3.25	3.3	2.23
	3.39	3.48	2.27
	3.3	3.4	2.15
	3.24	3.6	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.69)	3.43 ↓ (3.58)	2.22 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
29.1%

Draw
27.9%

Stuttgart
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

26.6%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

21%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greuther Fürth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stuttgart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Greuther Fürth - Stuttgart Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Fürth has the most likely position - 18 (91.84%), has project points - 19, has currently - 5, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Stuttgart has the most likely position - 16 (17.71%), has project points - 36, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fürth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stuttgart is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stuttgart will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fürth won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German Bundesliga
18.12.21	Greuther Fürth - Augsburg	0:0 ✺
15.12.21	Borussia Dortmund - Greuther Fürth	3:0 ✺
12.12.21	Greuther Fürth - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
04.12.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Greuther Fürth	7:1 ✺
27.11.21	Greuther Fürth - Hoffenheim	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWLL
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
19.12.21	Köln - Stuttgart	1:0 ✺
14.12.21	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
11.12.21	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
05.12.21	Stuttgart - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
26.11.21	Stuttgart - Mainz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.08.21	Stuttgart - Greuther Fürth	5:1
German 2 Bundesliga
29.02.20	Greuther Fürth - Stuttgart	2:0
21.09.19	Stuttgart - Greuther Fürth	2:0
18.03.17	Greuther Fürth - Stuttgart	1:0
03.10.16	Stuttgart - Greuther Fürth	4:0
Club Friendly
30.07.16	Stuttgart - Greuther Fürth	3:1
German Bundesliga
04.05.13	Stuttgart - Greuther Fürth	0:2

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