Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Greuther Fürth		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.7	Watch
	4.6	4	1.68
	4.9	3.8	1.71
	4.8	3.9	1.68
	5.27	3.96	1.72
	4.8	3.9	1.67	Watch
	4.9	4.15	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (4.07)	3.96 ↑ (3.77)	1.7 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
19.7%

Draw
24.1%

Freiburg
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.2%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

19.7%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	5.1%	82.7%

Greuther Fürth - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (81 of 98 users predict this - 82.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.15% – 90.15%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Fürth has the most likely position - 18 (96.95%), has project points - 20, has currently - 14, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Freiburg has the most likely position - 6 (27.46%), has project points - 55, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of qualify for ucl (20%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 59, small importance 29, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Fürth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Freiburg in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Freiburg is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German Bundesliga
13.03.22	Greuther Fürth - RB Leipzig	1:6 ✺
05.03.22	Bochum - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Greuther Fürth - Köln	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Bayern Munich - Greuther Fürth	4:1 ✺
12.02.22	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTLW
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
12.03.22	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	3:2 ✺
05.03.22	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.03.22	Bochum - Freiburg	1:2 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
26.02.22	Freiburg - Hertha Berlin	3:0 ✺
19.02.22	Augsburg - Freiburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
30.10.21	Freiburg - Greuther Fürth	3:1
German 2 Bundesliga
04.04.16	Greuther Fürth - Freiburg	2:3
18.10.15	Freiburg - Greuther Fürth	5:2
German Bundesliga
11.05.13	Greuther Fürth - Freiburg	1:2
08.12.12	Freiburg - Greuther Fürth	1:0

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