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Current Win Probability
Freiburg 53.2%
Draw 26.9%
Hertha Berlin 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56%
24.9%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
24.3%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
79.7%
11.9%
8.5%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
Freiburg will win
(47 of 59 users predict this - 79.66%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.39% – 89.93%.
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:0
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Preview
Freiburg has the most likely position - 5 (25.9%), project points - 58, currently - 46, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (36%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hertha has the most likely position - 18 (32.25%), project points - 30, currently - 21, a good chance of relegated (58%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
This event has quality63, big importance70, match rating67. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 3.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Freiburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Freiburg is a favorite.
There will not play in Freiburg: Gregoritsch M.
(Yellow Cards)
Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
Lienhart P.
(Hip Injury)
There will not play in Hertha: Boetius J-P.
(Shoulder Injury)
Ejuke C.
(Knee Injury)
Ernst T.
(Ankle Injury)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Jovetic S.
(Calf Injury)
Kempf M. O.
(Hip Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Richter M.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Hertha: Sunjic I.
(Personal Reasons)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-8.
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