Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 36

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)


	Grimsby Town		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.5
	1.87	3.3	4.2
	1.85	3.45	4.2
	1.89	3.47	4.56
	1.95	3.25	4
	1.9	3.45	4.15	Watch
	1.86	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.8)	3.35 ↑ (3.22)	4.23 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
49.9%

Draw
28%

Rochdale
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

29.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

28.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Grimsby Town - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Rochdale will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Grimsby has the most likely position - 17 (14.65%), has project points - 56, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (49.24%), has project points - 37, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (78%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has very small quality 7, small importance 20, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Grimsby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rochdale is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grimsby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Grimsby is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
07.03.23	Grimsby Town - Newport County	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Carlisle United - Grimsby Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.03.23	Southampton - Grimsby Town	1:2 ✺
English League Two
25.02.23	Grimsby Town - Leyton Orient	2:2 ✺
21.02.23	Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 TLWTT
- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
04.03.23	Rochdale - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
21.02.23	Rochdale - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Rochdale - Gillingham	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Leyton Orient - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.08.22	Rochdale - Grimsby Town	0:1
English League Cup
14.08.18	Grimsby Town - Rochdale	0:2

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