Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Grimsby Town		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.2
	1.9	3.5	3.8
	1.9	3.5	4	Watch
	1.94	3.61	4.13
	1.93	3.61	4.14
	1.85	3.6	3.7
	1.87	3.68	3.92	Watch
	1.92	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.95)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	3.96 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
49.5%

Draw
26.6%

Sutton United
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.3%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Grimsby Town - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: Grimsby Town will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cartwright H. (G) 28. Mullarkey T. 6. Waterfall L. (C) 31. Maher N. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 8. Holohan G. 42. Conteh K. 14. Gnahoua A. 19. Andrews J. 25. Wilson D. 9. Pyke R.	21. Bouzanis D. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 4. Sowunmi O. 5. Goodliffe B. 6. John L. 7. Coley J. 8. N'Guessan C. 10. Beautyman H. (C) 23. Jackson R. 9. Smith H. 40. O'Brien A.
Substitutes
15. Clifton H. 12. Eastwood J. (G) 7. Eisa A. 4. Green K. 29. Hunt A. 11. Khan O. 5. Rodgers H.	33. Angol L. 25. Arnold S. (G) 16. Clay C. 14. Dundas C. 19. Fadahunsi T. 11. Patrick O. 18. Pereira D.
Coaches
Pearson S.	Gray M.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Grimsby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Grimsby will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
18.11.23	Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Grimsby Town - Slough Town	7:2 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Grimsby Town - Morecambe	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Slough Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Doncaster Rovers - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTL
- Sutton United
English EFL Trophy
21.11.23	Charlton Athletic - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
English League Two
18.11.23	Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Colchester United - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Sutton United - Fylde	2:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Sutton United - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.03.23	Sutton United - Grimsby Town	0:1
20.08.22	Grimsby Town - Sutton United	0:0

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