The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Groningen 37.6%
Draw 28.5%
Vitesse 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
25.7%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
25.2%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitesse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
48.1%
25.9%
25.9%
Groningen - Vitesse Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). Vitesse will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 29.3% – 66.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Groningen has the most likely position - 9 (8.41%), has project points - 40, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Vitesse has the most likely position - 10 (8.39%), has project points - 40, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality48, small importance28, match rating38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Groningen won 2.
Recent matches Groningen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Vitesse has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Groningen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Vitesse have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Groningen: Hoekstra J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Vitesse: Schubert M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Groningen: Musampa Nordin N.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Vitesse: Dijks M.
(Injury)
Last 26 head-to-head matches Groningen won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 36-44.
Including matches at home between the teams Groningen won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-18.