Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	17:30	Ring, Voyo
Canada	11:30	Sportsnet Now Plus
Croatia	16:30	SportKlub 3
Finland	17:30	Veikkaus TV
Germany	16:30	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	17:30	Nova Sports News
Netherlands	16:30	Canal+, ESPN Extra
Slovakia	16:30	Arena sport 2
Switzerland	16:30	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	11:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	15:30	Disney+, Triller TV+


	Willem II		Twente

	1	X	2
	6	3.7	1.62	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.63
	5.45	3.7	1.68	Watch
	5.79	4	1.66
	5.32	3.77	1.68	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.62
	5.41	3.82	1.65	Watch
	5.45	3.7	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (3.54)	3.79 ↑ (3.31)	1.65 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Willem II
17.2%

Draw
25.2%

Twente
57.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28.8%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Willem II's form might have worsened.

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Twente's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Willem II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Twente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3%	4%	92.9%

Willem II - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: Twente will win (88 of 95 users predict this - 92.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.38% – 97.88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Didillon T. (G) 25. Tirpan M. 30. Behounek R. 33. St. Jago T. 5. Sigurgeirsson R. 34. Lachkar A. 21. Ahmed Fatah A. 8. Bosch J. (C) 16. Meerveld R. 9. Vaesen K. 14. Sandra C.	1. Unnerstall L. (C) 28. van Rooij B. 2. Hilgers M. 38. Bruns M. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 6. Eiting C. 8. Regeer Y. 11. Rots D. 18. Vlap M. 30. Ltaief S. 10. Lammers S.
Substitutes
18. Bokila J. 7. Doodeman N. 17. Joosten P. 11. Kehrer E. 6. Lambert B. 48. Mathijsen J. 22. Nizet R. 15. Pivas M. 41. Schut M. (G) 24. van den Berg C. (G) 50. van Loon P.	41. Besselink G. 16. El Maach I. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 5. Kuipers B. 29. Kuster H. 3. Lagerbielke G. 39. Rots M. 23. Sadilek M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 7. van Bergen M. 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 9. van Wolfswinkel R.
Coaches
Maes P.	Oosting J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ahmed Fatah A. 🟨,
33', Ahmed Fatah A. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hilgers M. ↓, Lagerbielke G. ↑,
49', Sigurgeirsson R. 🟨,
52', Rots D. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Lammers S. ⚽, Ltaief S. (A),
62', Ltaief S. ↓, van Bergen M. ↑,
71', Sandra C. ↓, Joosten P. ↑,
71', Lachkar A. ↓, Lambert B. ↑,
72', Vaesen K. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
75', Lammers S. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
76', Rots D. ↓, van Wolfswinkel R. ↑,
81', Vlap M. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,
84', Sigurgeirsson R. ↓, Nizet R. ↑,
84', Lambert B. 🟨,
90+1', Bokila J. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Willem II won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Twente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Twente is a favorite.

There will not play in Twente: Sadilek M. (Injury) Taha Y. (Shin Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Knock) Razak K. (Injury) Schouten E. (Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Willem II won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:29 (average 1.4:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Willem II won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1.1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Willem II
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.24	Genemuiden - Willem II	2:3 ET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.10.24	Ajax - Willem II	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Willem II - Fortuna Sittard	0:0 ✺
04.10.24	Almere City - Willem II	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Willem II - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTWL
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
27.10.24	Twente - Heracles Almelo	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Twente - Lazio	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.24	Waalwijk - Twente	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Feyenoord - Twente	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Twente - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
22.01.22	Willem II - Twente	0:1
17.10.21	Twente - Willem II	1:1
06.03.21	Twente - Willem II	1:1
17.10.20	Willem II - Twente	0:3
10.05.20	Willem II - Twente	Canceled
19.10.19	Twente - Willem II	0:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
23.01.19	Twente - Willem II	2:3

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