Match Info

Date: 20 July 2021, Tuesday


	Grêmio		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.6	3.8
	1.73	3.45	4.3	Watch
	1.74	3.45	4.6
	1.75	3.78	4.96
	1.72	3.5	4.6	Watch
	1.77	3.62	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.79)	3.6 (3.6)	4.48 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
53.4%

Draw
25.9%

LDU Quito
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

25.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

20.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.6%	12.5%	21.9%

Grêmio - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 49.1% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Recent matches Grêmio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

LDU Quito is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Grêmio is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
17.07.21	Fluminense - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.07.21	LDU Quito - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.07.21	Grêmio - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
07.07.21	Palmeiras - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
04.07.21	Grêmio - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTLL
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.07.21	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.07.21	LDU Quito - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Super Cup
26.06.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
22.06.21	LDU Quito - Delfín	4:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.05.21	LDU Quito - Orense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
13.07.21	LDU Quito - Grêmio	0:1
Copa Libertadores
13.04.16	LDU Quito - Grêmio	2:3
02.03.16	Grêmio - LDU Quito	4:0
30.01.13	Grêmio - LDU Quito	2:0 pen.
23.01.13	LDU Quito - Grêmio	1:0

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