Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 5

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Guarani		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	2.17	3	3.25
	2.29	2.98	3.39
	2.28	2.98	3.43	Watch
	1.95	3	3.8
	2.2	2.93	3.31	Watch
	2.17	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.93)	3 ↓ (3.4)	3.45 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
42.9%

Draw
30.6%

São Bernardo
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.9%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Guarani - São Bernardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrey Ventura (G) 4. Alan Santos 8. Anderson Leite (C) 10. Caio Mello 9. Deni Junior 6. Emerson 11. Isaque 2. JP Galvao 5. Nathan Camargo 7. Rafael Bilu 3. Raphael	12. Junior Oliveira (G) 32. Bastos R. 20. Emerson Santos 11. Felipe Azevedo 35. Foguinho 3. Helder Maciel (C) 21. Hugo Sanches 95. Para 59. Pedro Felipe 4. Rafael Forster 17. Romisson
Substitutes
21. Cristiano 12. Fred Conte (G) 20. Giva 23. Joao Victor 13. Leo Coltro 14. Lucao 22. Lucas Justen 19. Lucas Macedo 17. Luiz Miguel 15. Mateus Sarara 18. Samuel	6. Arthur Henrique 26. Dudu Miraima 90. Felipe Garcia 19. Henry 33. Kaua Jesus 13. Matheus Salustiano 25. Pedro Carrerette 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 30. Sillas 75. Valencia J. 84. Vanderlei (G) 10. Vitinho
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Ricardo Catala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Pedro Felipe ⚽,
15', Deni Junior 🟨,
38', Rafael Bilu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Anderson Leite ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
46', JP Galvao ↓, Lucas Justen ↑,
56', Nathan Camargo 🟨,
68', Nathan Camargo 🟥,
72', Isaque ↓, Mateus Sarara ↑,
72', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Sillas ↑,
72', Pedro Felipe ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
72', Bastos R. ↓, Henry ↑,
72', Emerson Santos ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
81', Deni Junior ↓, Samuel ↑,
81', Alan Santos ↓, Leo Coltro ↑,
85', Foguinho ↓, Matheus Salustiano ↑,
88', Leo Coltro 🟨,
90+1', Henry 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 11).

Guarani will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
04.05.25	Guarani - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Caxias - Guarani	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Brusque - Guarani	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Guarani - Maringá	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.02.25	Corinthians - Guarani	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLLT
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
05.05.25	São Bernardo - Londrina	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Itabaiana - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Maringá - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	São Bernardo - ABC	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.03.25	São Bernardo - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.02.25	São Bernardo - Guarani	1:0
24.01.24	Guarani - São Bernardo	0:0
15.02.23	Guarani - São Bernardo	1:5
19.03.22	São Bernardo - Guarani	0:0

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