The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarany de Bagé 46.1%
Draw 28.9%
Brasil de Pelotas 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53%
26.5%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
27.9%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarany de Bagé's form might have worsened.
Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarany de Bagé, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guarany de Bagé - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Marcio Jonatan (Pen),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 5).
Guarany de Bagé is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Brasil de Pelotas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Guarany de Bagé is the team to beat.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
Watch
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