The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guayaquil City 37.5%
Draw 31.2%
Deportivo Macará 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
31.2%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
30.5%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guayaquil City's performance.
Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Macará might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guayaquil City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Macará could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Guayaquil City - Deportivo Macará Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Macará will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guayaquil City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Napa G. (G) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 6. Arias R. (C) 70. Mancilla P. 14. Arroyo D. 20. Laurino S. 80. Gonzalez P. 10. Diaz D. 11. Mero E.
12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 4. Jimenez J. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 27. Mohor J. 15. Tello M. 16. Cazares J. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 20. Viera M. 9. Posse F.
Substitutes
21. Andrade J. M. 51. Cabezas E. 8. Humanante J. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 19. Naula A. 16. Ordonez J. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G) 15. Sambonino K. 28. Vivar J.
13. Ayala M. 8. Blanc G. 18. Cabeza M. 50. Caicedo C. 11. Espinoza T. 5. Estacio J. 21. Etchebarne S. 26. Medranda M. 10. Miranda M. 7. Paz F. 1. Rodriguez R. (G) 17. Zambrano J.
Coaches
Gavilanez P.
Sanguinetti G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Posse F. ⚽, Mohor J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Mero E. ⚽, Ayovi Caicedo J. J. (A),
57', Cazares J. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Gonzalez P. ⚽, Ayovi Caicedo J. J. (A),
61', Mancilla P. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
61', Posse F. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
61', Viera M. ↓, Cabeza M. ↑,
61', Cazares J. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
73', Chamba T. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
79', Arroyo D. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
79', Gonzalez P. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
80', Marrufo J. ↓, Medranda M. ↑,
88', Diaz D. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
88', Mero E. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
90+2', Cabezas E. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
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Napa G. (G) 
Laurino S. 
Marrufo J. (C) 
Palma M. 
Blanc G. 
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