Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 26

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday


	El Nacional		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	6.5	Watch
	1.36	4.8	5.75	Watch
	1.38	5	6.5	Watch
	1.36	4.5	6.6
	1.29	5.28	6.19
	1.33	4.8	7
	1.34	5.5	6.95	Watch
	1.39	5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.45)	4.99 ↑ (4.12)	6.46 ↑ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Nacional
67.6%

Draw
18.3%

Guayaquil City
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

El Nacional - Guayaquil City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Guayaquil City will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas D. (G) 2. Parrales J. 33. Micolta A. 44. Chala Rosales W. J. (C) 25. Quinonez O. 14. Tana B. 55. Borja R. 17. Solis M. 9. Balda M. 18. Palacios B. 20. Quinonez A.	1. Valle G. (G) 27. Vargas W. 3. Narvaez J. 21. Becerra K. 6. Arias R. 28. Montano J. 8. Humanante J. (C) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 22. Alonso M. 11. Rezabala J. 10. Parrales M.
Substitutes
11. Asprilla G. 4. Cabezas R. 13. Caicedo E. 38. Cetre E. 1. Chala L. (G) 22. Congo J. (G) 21. Gomez S. 16. Mejia E. 7. Mercado K. 6. Nazareno B. 5. Orovio J. 23. Patino D.	24. Cevallos J. (G) 18. Davila A. 7. Fernandez W. 26. Mejia M. 91. Plaza S. 19. Preciado E. 15. Sambonino K. 77. Segura D.
Coaches
Almeida E.	Gavilanez P.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 2.

El Nacional is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guayaquil City has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match El Nacional is certain favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27-33.

Including matches at home between the teams El Nacional won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.10.23	Orense - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	El Nacional - Mushuc Runa	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	El Nacional - Delfín	2:2 ✺
25.09.23	Libertad Loja - El Nacional	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	El Nacional - Emelec	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTWT
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.10.23	Guayaquil City - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Delfín - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.05.23	Guayaquil City - El Nacional	3:1
28.11.20	El Nacional - Guayaquil City	Guayaquil City awarded
30.09.20	Guayaquil City - El Nacional	2:1
19.10.19	Guayaquil City - El Nacional	0:1
11.05.19	El Nacional - Guayaquil City	2:1
12.11.18	Guayaquil City - El Nacional	1:0
20.08.18	El Nacional - Guayaquil City	1:1

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