The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Harrogate Town 45.2%
Draw 28.3%
Hartlepool United 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
29.9%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
31.5%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.9%
23.8%
14.3%
Harrogate Town - Hartlepool United Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 41.1% – 82.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 and 21).
Harrogate has the most likely position - 24 (17.58%), has project points - 44, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (25.59%), has project points - 41, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality6, importance45, small match rating25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 2.
Harrogate has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Hartlepool is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Harrogate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Harrogate will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.
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