Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 44

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)


	Northampton Town		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75
	1.75	3.5	4.6
	1.7	3.5	4.7
	1.76	3.63	5.16
	1.75	3.4	4.8
	1.75	3.65	4.7	Watch
	1.73	3.45	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	4.74 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
53.8%

Draw
26.5%

Harrogate Town
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

27.6%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

26.8%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Northampton Town - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Harrogate will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 21).

Northampton has the most likely position - 2 (45.79%), project points - 82, currently - 77, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), a good chance of promoted (83%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Harrogate has the most likely position - 21 (47.05%), project points - 49, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 11, importance 50, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Northampton is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League Two
18.04.23	Sutton United - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Carlisle United - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
10.04.23	Northampton Town - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Newport County - Northampton Town	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWLT
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
18.04.23	Harrogate Town - Walsall	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Harrogate Town - Doncaster Rovers	2:2 ✺
10.04.23	Leyton Orient - Harrogate Town	2:2 ✺
07.04.23	Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:2 ✺
31.03.23	Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.02.23	Harrogate Town - Northampton Town	1:1
18.04.22	Northampton Town - Harrogate Town	3:0
11.12.21	Harrogate Town - Northampton Town	1:2

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