Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 10

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Eltringham G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Wrexham		Northampton Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.51	4.2	6
	1.5	4.33	6	Watch
	1.52	4.38	6.23
	1.52	4.18	5.91	Watch
	1.53	4	6.5
	1.53	4.33	5.95	Watch
	1.46	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)	4.22 ↑ (4.1)	6.11 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
62.3%

Draw
22.3%

Northampton Town
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22.3%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wrexham - Northampton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 5. O'Connell E. 24. Scarr D. 6. O'Connor T. 7. McClean J. (C) 8. Cannon A. 15. Dobson G. 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O. 11. Marriott J.	1. Burge L. (G) 3. McGowan A. 26. Baldwin J. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 17. McCarron L. 4. Sowerby J. 18. McGeehan C. 7. Hoskins S. 19. Roberts T. 24. Fosu T. 9. Eaves T.
Substitutes
3. Brunt L. 13. Burton C. (G) 26. Fletcher S. 19. Mendy J. 10. Mullin P. 20. Rathbone O. 23. Revan S.	30. Chouchane S. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 2. Magloire T. 39. Morton C. 22. Odimayo A. 10. Pinnock M. 13. Tzanev N. (G)
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Brady J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, McClean J. ⚽, Barnett R. (A),
27', 1 - 1, McGeehan C. ⚽, Fosu T. (A),
29', McClean J. 🟨,
31', Sowerby J. 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Marriott J. ⚽, McClean J. (A),
41', McGowan A. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', McCarron L. ↓, Guinness-Walker N. ↑,
56', 3 - 1, Lee E. ⚽, Barnett R. (A),
65', Eaves T. ↓, Morton C. ↑,
67', 4 - 1, McClean J. ⚽, Barnett R. (A),
68', Palmer O. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
68', Marriott J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
69', Sowerby J. ↓, Pinnock M. ↑,
69', Fosu T. ↓, Chouchane S. ↑,
69', O'Connell E. ↓, Brunt L. ↑,
74', Cannon A. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
76', Hoskins S. 🟨,
86', Barnett R. ↓, Revan S. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 19).

Recent matches Wrexham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Northampton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Northampton have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
01.10.24	Stevenage Borough - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Leyton Orient - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Wrexham - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Birmingham City - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.09.24	Wrexham - Salford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLW
- Northampton Town
English League One
01.10.24	Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers	2:4 ✺
28.09.24	Northampton Town - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Huddersfield Town - Northampton Town	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Northampton Town - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWLT

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