The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartlepool United 33.7%
Draw 30.2%
Exeter City 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
28.7%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
19.4%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartlepool United's form might have worsened.
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hartlepool United - Exeter City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (10.1%), has project points - 51, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Exeter has the most likely position - 1 (12.09%), has project points - 74, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a small chance of win league (12%).
Hartlepool is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Exeter is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hartlepool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Hartlepool have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
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