Match Info

Date: 14 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)

Referee: Soto J. (Ven)


	Hermanos Colmenares		Aragua

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.6
	2.1	2.85	3.3
	2.03	3.05	3.45
	2.02	2.97	3.64
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.01	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.55)	3.05 ↓ (3.74)	3.5 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermanos Colmenares
44.5%

Draw
29.6%

Aragua
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22.8%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermanos Colmenares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hermanos Colmenares's form might have worsened.

Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aragua's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermanos Colmenares than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hermanos Colmenares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aragua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Hermanos Colmenares - Aragua Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hermanos Colmenares will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Aragua will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hermanos Colmenares: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Hermanos Colmenares is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aragua is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hermanos Colmenares will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hermanos Colmenares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hermanos Colmenares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Hermanos Colmenares
Venezuelan Primera Division
10.09.22	Deportivo Táchira - Hermanos Colmenares	0:1 ✺
01.09.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
26.08.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Hermanos Colmenares	1:2 ✺
19.08.22	Monagas - Hermanos Colmenares	3:1 ✺
14.08.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Universidad Central	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWLW
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.09.22	Aragua - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Aragua	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Aragua - Mineros de Guayana	3:3 ✺
18.08.22	Zulia - Aragua	0:0 ✺
11.08.22	Aragua - Zamora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
04.03.22	Aragua - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0
27.11.21	Aragua - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0
06.11.21	Hermanos Colmenares - Aragua	1:0
Club Friendly
13.01.20	Aragua - Hermanos Colmenares	3:0

Hermanos Colmenares - Aragua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide