The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hertha Berlin 41.3%
Draw 27.8%
Werder Bremen 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.1%
26.5%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
25.6%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Hertha Berlin - Werder Bremen Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Werder will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 35.9% โ 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Hertha has the most likely position - 18 (47.66%), project points - 28, currently - 22, a good chance of relegated (77%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Werder has the most likely position - 12 (27.42%), project points - 38, currently - 32, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality60, small importance28, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hertha won 1.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Hertha have a series of guest games.
Hertha will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Hertha: Ejuke C.
(Knee Injury)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Jovetic S.
(Muscle Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Uremovic F.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Werder: Agu F.
(Knee Injury)
Hilssner M.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Werder: Veljkovic M.
(Calf Injury)
Last 18 head-to-head matches Hertha won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-29.
Including matches at home between the teams Hertha won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-14.