The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hertha Berlin 18.7%
Draw 24.4%
RB Leipzig 56.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.4%
22.9%
58.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
21.2%
54.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.9%
4.4%
66.7%
Hertha Berlin - RB Leipzig Predictions
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 30 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 52.9% โ 80.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: )).
Hertha has the most likely position - 17 (24.15%), project points - 31, currently - 22, a good chance of relegated (51%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
RB Leipzig has the most likely position - 4 (32.1%), project points - 59, currently - 45, not chance of relegated, a good chance of qualify for ucl (59%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality68, big importance82, big match rating75. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hertha won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Hertha have a series of guest games.
In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
There will not play in Hertha: Boetius J-P.
(Shoulder Injury)
Ejuke C.
(Knee Injury)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Jovetic S.
(Calf Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gulacsi P.
(Knee Injury)
Poulsen Y.
(Calf Injury)
Schlager X.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Nkunku C.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Hertha won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 15-48.
Including matches at home between the teams Hertha won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-26.
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