Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Easter Road (Edinburgh) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bengoetxea R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Scotland	17:45	BBC Scotland
Slovakia	18:45	Arena sport 1


	Hibernian		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	13	6	1.22	Watch
	11.5	6.5	1.19
	12	6.5	1.21
	11	6.5	1.22
	12.26	6.71	1.21
	11	7	1.21	Watch
	13	7	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.97 ↑ (7.08)	6.6 ↑ (4.5)	1.21 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hibernian
7.9%

Draw
14.3%

Aston Villa
77.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.2%

20.7%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

19.7%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hibernian's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	3.4%	82.8%

Hibernian - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marshall D. (G) 5. Fish W. 4. Hanlon P. (C) 16. Stevenson L. 2. Miller L. 32. Campbell J. 11. Newell J. 21. Obita J. 7. Youan T. 9. Vente D. 10. Boyle M.	1. Martinez E. (G) 3. Diego Carlos 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 7. McGinn J. (C) 44. Kamara B. 6. Douglas Luiz 19. Diaby M. 11. Watkins O. 31. Bailey L.
Substitutes
35. Allan-Molotnikov R. 25. Boruc M. (G) 33. Bushiri R. 28. Delferriere A. 23. Doidge C. 8. Doyle-Hayes J. 26. Harbottle R. 14. Jeggo J. 19. Le Fondre A. 44. MacIntyre J. 40. McAllister R. 42. Megwa K.	2. Cash M. 16. Chambers C. 24. Duran J. 59. Feeney J. 42. Marschall F. (G) 25. Olsen R. (G) 56. Revan S. 8. Tielemans Y. 9. Traore B.
Coaches
Johnson L.	Emery U.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Hibernian is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aston Villa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hibernian could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aston Villa is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hibernian FC
Scottish League Cup
20.08.23	Hibernian - Raith Rovers	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Luzern - Hibernian	2:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
13.08.23	Motherwell - Hibernian	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Hibernian - Luzern	3:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
06.08.23	Hibernian - St. Mirren	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLWL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
20.08.23	Aston Villa - Everton	4:0 ✺
12.08.23	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Valencia - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
03.08.23	Aston Villa - Lazio	3:0 ✺
30.07.23	Aston Villa - Brentford	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hibernian FC
Scottish League Cup
01.11.26	Hearts - Hibernian	✺
- Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Barcelona - Aston Villa	✺
English Premier League
31.10.26	Aston Villa - Fulham	✺

Hibernian - Aston Villa