The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hoffenheim 34.4%
Draw 23.9%
Bayer Leverkusen 41.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.9%
23.8%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
23.6%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
The ML Model estimate for Bayer Leverkusen aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
3.8%
11.5%
84.6%
Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). Bayer will win (votes: 22 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 70.7% – 98.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Bayer (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Bayer Leverkusen (2.30) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.
Hoffenheim has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bayer is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Hoffenheim: De Cat N.
(Knee Injury)
Hajdari A.
(Foot Injury)
Wimmer P.
(Thigh Injury).
Confirmed absences for Bayer: Ben Seghir E.
(Muscle Injury)
Doue G.
(Calf Injury)
Eichhorn K.
(Illness)
Kofane C.
(Muscle Injury)
Terrier M.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Hoffenheim: Conte B.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Bayer: Culbreath M.
(Foot Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hoffenheim has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:35 (averaging 1.7:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hoffenheim against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 15:20 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).