Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Holstein Kiel		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.8	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.8	2.2
	2.8	3.75	2.4
	2.8	3.83	2.46
	2.72	3.79	2.48	Watch
	3	3.7	2.15	Watch
	2.86	3.93	2.43	Watch
	2.8	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3)	3.79 ↓ (3.87)	2.36 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
34%

Draw
25.3%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

24.9%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

25.2%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	7.3%	80.5%

Holstein Kiel - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Borussia M will win (votes: 31 - 79.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 66.8% – 92.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Borussia M (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Holstein Kiel (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Borussia M (votes: 13 - 81.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dahne T. (G) 17. Becker T. (C) 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 23. Rosenboom L. 37. Gigovic A. 22. Remberg N. 47. Tolkin J. 7. Skrzybski S. 11. Bernhardsson A. 18. Machino S.	1. Omlin J. (C) 29. Scally J. 3. Itakura K. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 26. Ullrich L. 27. Reitz R. 8. Weigl J. 31. Cvancara T. 14. Plea A. 25. Hack R. 11. Kleindienst T.
Substitutes
31. Engelhardt M. (G) 19. Harres P. 33. Javorcek D. 5. Johansson C. 24. Knudsen M. 9. Pichler B. 8. Porath F. 15. Schulz M. 1. Weiner T. (G)	5. Friedrich M. 13. Fukuda S. 9. Honorat F. 22. Lainer S. 20. Netz L. 10. Neuhaus F. 42. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) 21. Sippel T. (G) 7. Stoger K.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Seoane G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Machino S. ⚽, Tolkin J. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Bernhardsson A. ⚽,
37', Cvancara T. 🟨,
41', Tolkin J. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
60', 2 - 1, Cvancara T. ⚽, Hack R. (A),
61', Hack R. ↓, Honorat F. ↑,
61', Reitz R. ↓, Neuhaus F. ↑,
69', Chiarodia F. C. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Plea A. ⚽, Honorat F. (A),
74', Rosenboom L. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Gigovic A. ⚽, Porath F. (A),
82', Weigl J. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
82', Ullrich L. ↓, Netz L. ↑,
83', Machino S. 🟨,
85', Ivezic M. 🟨,
86', 3 - 3, Honorat F. ⚽, Kleindienst T. (A),
89', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
89', Ivezic M. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
89', Gigovic A. ↓, Javorcek D. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 3, Machino S. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 9).

Holstein Kiel is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Borussia M is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borussia M will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Arp J.-F. (Yellow Cards) Erras P. (Concussion) Holtby L. (Muscle Injury) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Komenda M. (Thigh Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Borussia M: Borges Sanches Y. (Muscle Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nicolas M. (Groin Injury) Sander P. (Illness) Swider N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Zec D. (Concussion)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 32.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga
19.04.25	RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Mainz - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLTLT
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
20.04.25	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.12.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Holstein Kiel	4:1
Club Friendly
29.07.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Holstein Kiel	1:0

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