Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
Belgium	15:30	DAZN 1
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	09:30	Disney+
China	21:30	ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free, New World TV
Germany	15:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 1
Hungary	15:30	Net4+
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	Vision+
Indonesia	20:30	RCTI+
Japan	22:30	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect
Mexico	07:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	18:30	Tapmad
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Viaplay
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	16:30	beIN Connect
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
Vietnam	20:30	ON Plus
International	13:30	Disney+, Onefootball


	Holstein Kiel		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.8	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.8	2.2
	2.8	3.75	2.4
	2.8	3.83	2.46
	2.72	3.79	2.48	Watch
	3	3.7	2.15	Watch
	2.86	3.93	2.43	Watch
	2.8	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3)	3.79 ↓ (3.87)	2.36 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
34%

Draw
25.3%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

24.9%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

25.2%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	7.3%	80.5%

Holstein Kiel - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Borussia M will win (votes: 31 - 79.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 66.8% – 92.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Borussia M (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Holstein Kiel (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Borussia M (votes: 13 - 81.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dahne T. (G) 17. Becker T. (C) 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 23. Rosenboom L. 37. Gigovic A. 22. Remberg N. 47. Tolkin J. 7. Skrzybski S. 11. Bernhardsson A. 18. Machino S.	1. Omlin J. (C) 29. Scally J. 3. Itakura K. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 26. Ullrich L. 27. Reitz R. 8. Weigl J. 31. Cvancara T. 14. Plea A. 25. Hack R. 11. Kleindienst T.
Substitutes
31. Engelhardt M. (G) 19. Harres P. 33. Javorcek D. 5. Johansson C. 24. Knudsen M. 9. Pichler B. 8. Porath F. 15. Schulz M. 1. Weiner T. (G)	5. Friedrich M. 13. Fukuda S. 9. Honorat F. 22. Lainer S. 20. Netz L. 10. Neuhaus F. 42. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) 21. Sippel T. (G) 7. Stoger K.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Seoane G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Machino S. ⚽, Tolkin J. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Bernhardsson A. ⚽,
37', Cvancara T. 🟨,
41', Tolkin J. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
60', 2 - 1, Cvancara T. ⚽, Hack R. (A),
61', Hack R. ↓, Honorat F. ↑,
61', Reitz R. ↓, Neuhaus F. ↑,
69', Chiarodia F. C. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Plea A. ⚽, Honorat F. (A),
74', Rosenboom L. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Gigovic A. ⚽, Porath F. (A),
82', Weigl J. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
82', Ullrich L. ↓, Netz L. ↑,
83', Machino S. 🟨,
85', Ivezic M. 🟨,
86', 3 - 3, Honorat F. ⚽, Kleindienst T. (A),
89', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
89', Ivezic M. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
89', Gigovic A. ↓, Javorcek D. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 3, Machino S. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 9).

Holstein Kiel is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Borussia M is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borussia M will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Arp J.-F. (Yellow Cards) Erras P. (Concussion) Holtby L. (Muscle Injury) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Komenda M. (Thigh Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Borussia M: Borges Sanches Y. (Muscle Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nicolas M. (Groin Injury) Sander P. (Illness) Swider N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Zec D. (Concussion)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 32.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga
19.04.25	RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Mainz - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLTLT
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
20.04.25	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.12.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Holstein Kiel	4:1
Club Friendly
29.07.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Holstein Kiel	1:0

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