Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Holstein Kiel		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	4.75	Watch
	1.66	4	4.8	Watch
	1.7	3.85	4.6
	1.65	3.9	4.9
	1.68	4.1	5.16
	1.7	3.75	4.4	Watch
	1.67	4.15	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)	3.96 ↑ (3.51)	4.77 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
56.3%

Draw
23.9%

Ingolstadt
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.5%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

17.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holstein Kiel's performance.

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Holstein Kiel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ingolstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Holstein Kiel - Ingolstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Holstein Kiel has the most likely position - 12 (16.62%), has project points - 42, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (66.78%), has project points - 24, has currently - 15, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of promoted.

This event has small quality 29, very small importance 7, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Holstein Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Holstein Kiel is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
11.03.22	Hansa Rostock - Holstein Kiel	3:2 ✺
04.03.22	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	3:4 ✺
25.02.22	Hannover - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher	0:2 ✺
11.02.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Holstein Kiel	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 2 Bundesliga
13.03.22	Ingolstadt - Schalke 04	0:3 ✺
06.03.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ingolstadt	3:0 ✺
26.02.22	Ingolstadt - St. Pauli	1:3 ✺
19.02.22	Werder Bremen - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Ingolstadt - Sandhausen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
16.10.21	Ingolstadt - Holstein Kiel	1:1
Club Friendly
12.01.20	Ingolstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
14.04.19	Ingolstadt - Holstein Kiel	1:1
03.11.18	Holstein Kiel - Ingolstadt	2:2
29.04.18	Ingolstadt - Holstein Kiel	1:5
25.11.17	Holstein Kiel - Ingolstadt	0:0

Upcoming Matches