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Current Win Probability
Ingolstadt 20.8%
Draw 24.5%
Schalke 04 54.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.7%
25.8%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
16.6%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ingolstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-21.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Schalke 04, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ingolstadt - Schalke 04 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 7).
Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (67.85%), has project points - 24, has currently - 15, has a very good chance of relegated (99%), has not chance of promoted.
Schalke has the most likely position - 5 (17.41%), has project points - 57, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
This event has quality33, importance38, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Schalke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Schalke is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
Watch
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