Match Info

Cymru North - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Holyhead Hotspur		Denbigh Town

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.05	1.65
	4.23	4.53	1.62	Watch
	3.82	4.1	1.68
	4.5	4.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.23)	4.25 ↓ (4.53)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holyhead Hotspur
22.3%

Draw
21.5%

Denbigh Town
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

20.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

19.5%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holyhead Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Denbigh Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Holyhead Hotspur - Denbigh Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Owen C. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Beaumont B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Owen T. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Vaughan A. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 2, Owen K. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Denbigh Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Denbigh Town is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Holyhead won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Holyhead won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
25.10.25	Newtown - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Airbus UK Broughton	2:5 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Ruthin Town	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Caersws	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTT
- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
24.10.25	Denbigh Town - Ruthin Town	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Denbigh Town - Rhyl	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Newtown - Denbigh Town	4:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
24.09.25	Porthmadog - Denbigh Town	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Alliance
23.11.18	Denbigh Town - Holyhead Hotspur	3:1
09.03.18	Denbigh Town - Holyhead Hotspur	5:1
10.11.17	Holyhead Hotspur - Denbigh Town	0:2

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