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Current Win Probability
Huesca 36.7%
Draw 30.2%
Athletic Bilbao 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
29.9%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
21.8%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huesca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
34%
35.8%
30.2%
Huesca - Athletic Bilbao Predictions
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 18 - 34%). Athletic will win (votes: 16 - 30.2%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 35.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22.9% – 48.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).
Huesca has the most likely position - 17 (30.16%), has project points - 34, has currently - 30, has a good chance of relegated (55%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Athletic has the most likely position - 9 (37.27%), has project points - 50, has currently - 46, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Huesca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Athletic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Huesca won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Huesca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.