Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Leicester City		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.68	4.12	4.66	Watch
	1.84	3.84	4.5
	1.68	3.98	4.85	Watch
	1.65	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.66)	3.99 ↓ (4.25)	4.75 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
56.1%

Draw
23.8%

Wrexham
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.4%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

24.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leicester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	5%	5%

Leicester City - Wrexham Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Leicester (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Leicester (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Leicester (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leicester City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 17. Choudhury H. (C) 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 8. Winks H. 6. James J. 7. Fatawu I. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 28. Monga J. 20. Daka P.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. 3. Brunt L. 12. Kabore I. 15. Dobson G. 18. Sheaf B. 47. Longman R. 10. Windass J. (C) 27. O'Brien L. 19. Moore K.
Substitutes
9. Ayew J. 31. Begovic A. (G) 18. Carranza J. 16. Kristiansen V. 10. Mavididi S. 5. Okoli C. 21. Pereira R. 22. Skipp O. 24. Soumare B.	29. Barnett R. 33. Broadhead N. 25. Burton C. (G) 6. Coady C. 2. Doyle C. 37. James M. 7. McClean J. 28. Smith S. 14. Thomason G.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Faes W. 🟨,
34', Thomas L. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, James J. ⚽, Daka P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Thomas L. ↓, Kristiansen V. ↑,
57', Longman R. 🟨,
61', Sheaf B. ↓, James M. ↑,
61', Windass J. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
68', Monga J. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
68', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
73', Longman R. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
73', Kabore I. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
73', Skipp O. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Broadhead N. ⚽, O'Brien L. (A),
82', Daka P. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
82', James J. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
82', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leicester is the team to beat.

There will not play in Leicester: Ramsey A. (Red Card) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Inactive) Cacace L. (Knock) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Page L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Rathbone O. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
26.09.25	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Leicester City - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Oxford United - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Leicester City - Birmingham City	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Charlton Athletic - Leicester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTWW
- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
27.09.25	Wrexham - Derby County	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wrexham - Reading	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
20.09.25	Norwich City - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Wrexham - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Millwall - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWLW

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