Match Info

Date: 9 February 2021, Tuesday


	Hull City		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	3
	2.45	3.1	2.95
	2.5	3.2	2.95
	2.38	3.1	2.95
	2.42	3.28	3.18
	2.4	3.1	2.9
	2.53	3.4	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.2)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	2.99 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
38.8%

Draw
29.5%

Lincoln City
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

18.4%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lincoln City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.4%	21.6%	45.9%

Hull City - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 12 - 32.4%). Lincoln will win (votes: 17 - 45.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 29.8% – 62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Hull has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a good chance of promoted (59%), has a chance of win league (26%).

Lincoln has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (49%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Recent matches Hull is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lincoln is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lincoln could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hull won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Hull won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League One
06.02.21	Burton Albion - Hull City	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.02.21	Hull City - Lincoln City	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
30.01.21	Hull City - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
26.01.21	Accrington Stanley - Hull City	2:0 ✺
23.01.21	Portsmouth - Hull City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- Lincoln City
English League One
05.02.21	Gillingham - Lincoln City	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.02.21	Hull City - Lincoln City	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
30.01.21	Lincoln City - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 ✺
26.01.21	Portsmouth - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
23.01.21	Lincoln City - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
02.02.21	Hull City - Lincoln City	1:2 penalties

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