Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Burton Albion		Hull City

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.61
	5	3.9	1.62
	5.4	3.9	1.65
	5.2	3.95	1.58
	5.51	4.14	1.65
	5.25	3.8	1.6
	5.25	4.3	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (4.74)	4 ↑ (3.83)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
18%

Draw
23.7%

Hull City
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

24.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

19.8%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hull City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	7.7%	82.1%

Burton Albion - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: Hull City will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation to League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion to Championship).

Burton has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hull has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a good chance of promoted (70%), has a chance of win league (38%).

Burton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hull is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hull could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hull is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Burton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
16.01.21	Burton Albion - Ipswich Town	0:1 ✺
09.01.21	Gillingham - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
02.01.21	Burton Albion - Oxford United	1:5 ✺
29.12.20	Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic	3:4 ✺
26.12.20	Lincoln City - Burton Albion	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLL
- Hull City
English EFL Trophy
02.02.21	Hull City - Lincoln City	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
30.01.21	Hull City - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
26.01.21	Accrington Stanley - Hull City	2:0 ✺
23.01.21	Portsmouth - Hull City	0:4 ✺
19.01.21	Hull City - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.11.20	Hull City - Burton Albion	2:0
English League Championship
10.04.18	Burton Albion - Hull City	0:5
12.08.17	Hull City - Burton Albion	4:1

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