Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Hull City		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.85
	4.4	3.5	1.85
	4.5	3.55	1.87
	4.1	3.5	1.85
	4.39	3.66	1.89
	4	3.8	1.8
	4.25	3.72	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (5.45)	3.6 ↓ (3.85)	1.85 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
22.2%

Draw
26.4%

Nottingham Forest
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

24.6%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

23.6%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nottingham Forest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	4.8%	57.1%

Hull City - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Nottingham will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs)).

Nottingham is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs)

Hull has the most likely position - 18 (53.13%), has project points - 51, has currently - 50, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Nottingham has the most likely position - 3 (77.82%), has project points - 81, has currently - 79, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (37%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 44, small importance 12, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hull won 1.

Recent matches Hull is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nottingham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hull could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nottingham is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Hull won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Hull won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
30.04.22	Bristol City - Hull City	5:0 ✺
23.04.22	Hull City - Reading	3:0 ✺
18.04.22	Millwall - Hull City	2:1 ✺
15.04.22	Hull City - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Middlesbrough - Hull City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWLWW
- Nottingham Forest
English League Championship
03.05.22	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Nottingham Forest - Swansea City	5:1 ✺
26.04.22	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Peterborough United - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
18.04.22	Nottingham Forest - West Bromwich Albion	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.12.21	Nottingham Forest - Hull City	2:1
26.12.19	Hull City - Nottingham Forest	0:2
23.10.19	Nottingham Forest - Hull City	1:2
09.03.19	Nottingham Forest - Hull City	3:0
24.11.18	Hull City - Nottingham Forest	0:2
10.02.18	Nottingham Forest - Hull City	0:2
English FA Cup
27.01.18	Hull City - Nottingham Forest	2:1

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