The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest 63.2%
Draw 21.8%
Swansea City 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
26.6%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
26.5%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nottingham Forest's performance.
Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swansea City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swansea City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.8%
0%
12.2%
Nottingham Forest - Swansea City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nottingham Forest will win
(36 of 41 users predict this - 87.8%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.78% – 97.82%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 14).
Nottingham has the most likely position - 3 (59.02%), has project points - 81, has currently - 76, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (78%), has a chance of promoted (47%), has not chance of win league.
Swansea has the most likely position - 15 (28.85%), has project points - 63, has currently - 61, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has quality47, importance34, match rating40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 1.
Nottingham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Swansea is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Swansea have a series of home games.
In this match Nottingham is certain favorite.
Our prediction for today's Nottingham to win the game is with odds 1.52.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
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